Week 4 Early Line

So here's my Week 4 early line. It's just a ballpark spread that I expect this coming weekend in the week 4 games. I also updated the Week 3 spreadsheet here.

OAK
MIA -3

HOU -5
ATL

BAL -4
CLE

CHI -4
DET

GNB -6
MIN

STL
DAL -8

NYJ -4
BUF

TAM
CAR -1

SEA -5/-6
SFO

PIT -10
ARI

KAN
SDG -7

DEN
IND -6

PHI -6
NYG

NWE -8
CIN


I have yet to look at the official spreads but I'll be making my final picks and will post them tomorrow in a spreadsheet as always.

Also, I'm beginning to use this idea I found in a noted men's magazine. It made reference to a particular stat that they called the most important stat in football. That stat is yards per throw, or in other words, yards per pass attempt. I used nfl.com's stat sorting to list the teams in descending order according to this stat. Guess who's at the top of the list? New England. Guess who's right below them in spot number 2? Dallas. Guess who I think will be in the Super Bowl this year? Yes, those two teams. Nonetheless the season is still early. Well as for this stat, the claim is that over the last 50 years in pro football this stat predicts the winner 80% of the time. For instance, TAM ranks higher with regard to this stat than does CAR, thus this stat says TAM wins. Who do you think? (TAM is ranked 3rd)